Scotland’s annual ‘steadiness sheet’ will probably be printed as we speak and is predicted to indicate the deficit remaining excessive, regardless of a lift from oil taxes.
The Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS) report for 2017/18 ought to present some encouragement for the federal government.
However, the deficit remains to be more likely to hover round eight% of GDP, greater than 3 times the UK determine and sufficient for critics to accuse ministers of mismanaging the economic system.
Last yr’s report mentioned Scotland spent £13.three billion greater than it raised in 2016/17 (representing an eight.three% share of GDP) and getting it down has resulted in cuts to public spending within the absence of any substantial progress.
The UK authorities has decreased its deficit to 2.four% (£39.4bn), the bottom since 2007 and beneath the three% worldwide threshold. Westminster is hoping to maneuver right into a surplus.
Scotland has been hit by the 2014 collapse within the oil worth. Of the £58bn raised in complete in 2016/17, solely £208m was from North Sea oil and gasoline income – towards practically £8bn in 2011/12.
Economists at Strathclyde University’s Fraser of Allander Institute mentioned the hole between the Scottish and UK deficits in final yr’s GERS report was the most important for the reason that annual figures have been printed on a constant foundation practically 20 years in the past.
The report will probably be printed at 9:30am by First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Finance Secretary Derek Mackay.
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